my results

So, how did I do?

I said 303, maybe more.  Looks like 332 - Florida will go to Obama


In looking at voting, in Indiana, in Marion-Lake-Allen, Obama dropped to a margin of around 115,000; he'll lose the state by 250,000 - 275,000 but much better than Gore/Kerry and will also win.  I count that as correct.  Smaller margin than 2008, but still enough to show that he would win nationwide.

Of course, these counties were slow in reporting, so by the time that they were done, it was reasonably clear that Obama would win.

Polk County Iowa on the other hand is always fast in reporting.  Obama maintained his advantage there, and it was obvious that he would win in Iowa by 9:10 (far in advance of the national calls))

Florida and Virginia were close - decided by northern VA and southern FL (not all the votes are in, but essentially the remaining votes are from Dade).  And Obama won in the Tampa region,

Ohio was amusing in that Karl Rove held a melt-down.  Black Knight in Monte Python "Holy Grail" if you know what I mean.  Cleveland was coming in at 70%, clearly Obama victory numbers though.

I'll mention the US Senate races still open:  ND, where Heidi Heitkamp should win.  A few scattered precincts left, but in looking at them, they won't move the race.  At roughly 95% of the vote now, even if they all broke for Rick Berg, he'd still lose, but I don't think that will happen.  The smaller western precincts break for him, and the eastern precincts break for her.  He gets a few more votes, but she wins by 3,000.

In Montana, where a lot more counties/precincts are left, Jon Tester should win.  He will apparently win Billings (Yellowstone County) by a small margin, and he's got a few good American Indian counties/liberal mountain hippie/labor miner counties left.  The Libertarian in the race really killed "Gentleman Rancher" Denny Rehberg ("GR's" are the kind of ranchers who are hoping to be close enough to a city to sell most of the land for development but keep a few acres for horses and such).  Tester has kept a lead of 15,000 or so most of the night.  He's got enough votes left to keep that margin, even though Rehberg should roll up some good numbers in a lot of the (mostly) smaller counties left.  Interesting race though.  Normally, in a one-seat state, the sitting Representative has an advantage over a Senator (the Representative runs statewide every two years.)

I'm not going to try and look at what's left in the Nevada Senate seat.  It's closer than what people expected, but Dean Heller was expected to win, and is leading.  If the votes not counted are in Clark County, he might lose; if the votes not counted are in other places, he wins.